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Are binary options legit a good ideas


Is BinaryOnline a Scam? Is BinaryOnline A Scam? Given the fact that BinaryOnline is one of the newest binary options brokers on the market, it’s perfectly natural to be careful when approaching them. Unfortunately, scams are not unheard of in this business, so you should always take things slowly when opening a new trading account. Research everything thoroughly before you start investing. How? Well, that’s where our trading experts come in! They trade with brokers, so that you don’t have to risk your hard-earned money, and then report back with their impressions. Therefore, if you want to know is BinaryOnline a scam or not, you’re at the right place. Keep reading and see what we experienced when we started trading with this new company. Is BinaryOnline a Scam? | Trading platform.


Let’s start things off with the BinaryOnline Trading Platform. This is where you will be spending most of your time, so it seems like a good place to start our test. With over 100 different currencies, indices, commodities and stocks at your disposal, you should have no problems finding what interests you. The trading experience itself should be pretty good because all prices are regularly updated and we have had absolutely no issues with opening trades. This is thanks to the famous SpotOption software, a very reliable piece of engineering that makes sure no problems ever occur here. Indeed, it does the job exceptionally well and we firmly believe you will have no problems at all. However, we still have a way to go if we want to determine is BinaryOnline a scam, so stay with us. BinaryOnline Trading Platform. Is BinaryOnline a Scam? | Safe deposit methods. Of course, we have to take a look at this broker’s money transfer methods. This is where scams most commonly occur, meaning we can get a pretty good idea of is BinaryOnline a scam or not after we go through this part of our test. We went through BinaryOnline Minimum Deposit in a separate article, but of course you can use bank transfers to fund your account, but keep in mind that this method is a bit slower than the other ones because it may take up to 5 days for your money to finish its journey. If you want quicker transfer, you might want to use Visa and MasterCard credit (debit) cards or an e-Wallet (Neteller, cashU, Skrill, and others).


You will be happy to know that the broker’s website is SSL certified and they also have a PCI certificate to further prove their reliability. Cookies are also there to help you have a better trading experience. Is BinaryOnline a scam after all this? The answer seems to be negative, but let’s explore some more. BinaryOnline Deposit Page. Is BinaryOnline a Scam? | Identity verification and withdrawal. As is the case with all serious brokers, you will be asked to verify your identity before you are able to withdraw your funds, no matter which of the BinaryOnline Account Types you have. To do this, you will be asked to provide the broker with a copy of your ID, a proof of your address and a copy of the credit card you used to fund your account. Keep in mind that you will also be asked to fill out a so called Investment Testimony Form, a form that will require your handwritten signature at the bottom, so you will have to download it, fill it out and then send it back to the broker’s e-mail. Should you decide to withdraw via your e-Wallet, you will only be asked your e-mail, without any additional financial information.


Finally, if you choose to withdraw via wire transfer, you can expect this process to last a few days because it takes some time to link your bank account with the trading account. From our own experience, all these methods function flawlessly and if you were to ask us is BinaryOnline a scam, we would have to say no. Is BinaryOnline a Scam? | Support. Customer support is always an important part of the trading experience, and its quality can also tell us a lot about is BinaryOnline a scam or not. This is because scam brokers usually neglect support and are not able to answer your questions in sufficient detail. Fortunately, that is not the case here. First of all, there is a live chat application embedded in the website and you can also ask the broker to call you back whenever it suits you. In both cases, you will get thorough answers and a capable support team member on the other side ready to help you with whatever you need. Of course, you can also contact them via e-mail, but whichever method you choose, you will be very satisfied with how you’re treated here. At this point, discussing is BinaryOnline a scam seems pretty pointless, but there is one more thing we have to address. Is BinaryOnline a Scam? | Education.


It’s really nice to see when a broker goes the extra mile to help its clients learn and get used to their trading environment. They are especially dedicated to beginners, so if you don’t have a lot of experience in this business, this is one of the best places where you can learn about it. Everything is especially well designed in this section, and you can watch various educational videos or read a handy e-Book if you so desire. There are also signals to be discovered in this part of the website, but keep in mind that you will have to have an account before you can access them. Add to that a very detailed glossary, and you have everything you need to hone your trading skills. After this, there really shouldn’t be any doubt what you should answer when someone asks you is BinaryOnline a scam or not, but if you want more info, go and check out our BinaryOnline Review 2016. BinaryOnline Trading Academy. Is BinaryOnline a Scam? | Conclusion. After this lengthy analysis, we believe there really isn’t any room for doubt anymore. The answer to the question “Is BinaryOnline a scam?” is a resounding no. Money transfers are completely reliable, the platform functions perfectly and the support team always do its best to help you. On top of that, you can access many useful educational features and further improve your skill.


If you want a quality broker, this is absolutely it – do not hesitate! Are binary options legit a good ideas Binary options trading sounds too legit to be anything but above board. After all, this involves publicly traded stocks and commodities. Lately, however, it has been criticized as nothing more than gambling, pure and simple, yet the buzz around it is getting louder and the promise of easy money is attracting the attention of people from all walks of life. What is it, really, and is it something the ordinary weekend investor like you and me should even care about? What are binary options? Binary is an apt adjective for this type of option. In programming parlance binary used to describe either of two states. 1 or 0. In the sports betting industry binary options are also popular – win or lose. In other words, there are only two possible outcomes. There is some basis to this all or nothing description of binary options trading.


Here’s a short explanation of how it goes. Take the price of any asset at any point in time. You make an intelligent guess on whether this price will increase or decrease over a specific period of time and bet $100 that you guessed right. If you are you win back your bet and plus a pre-agreed amount. If you’re wrong you lose almost all of your $100. Of course it’s not as simple as that. In fact, there’s serious math behind binary options and people who engage in binary options trading, like all others involved in financial markets, are pretty confident that their numbers are better. Because in a single binary option trade, the outcome for the participants is also binary. One loses, one wins. Let’s get a bit more technical than the simple explanation above. As currently practiced, binary options trading involves three main components. First, there is an underlying asset, the future value of which becomes the basis for the trade. This asset can be the price of a specific company’s stock. It can be a traded commodity such as gold.


Recently, there was an industry filing at the Commodities and Futures Trading Commission to allow exchanges to offer binary options for future box office receipts of certain films. Second is the direction of trade. This is your guess of what the price of the asset will be at a specific point of time in the future and you make your trade based on whether this price will be above or below the current price at the time that the binary options contract was made. Third is, of course, the amount you wish to trade. A binary options glossary. Like most specialized fields, binary options trading has its own jargon. These words are borrowed from the more established practice of commodities and futures trading, and gives binary options an aura similar to that of derivatives. Current price. The price of the underlying asset. Strike price. The price of the underlying asset when the binary option is purchased. Expiry price.


The price of the underlying asset at the time of expiry of the binary option. Call option. The right to buy. In binary options trading, the purchase of an offer is an exercise of the option. In American exchanges this is termed as “Finish High” because the motivation behind a call is the probability that the price of the asset when the contract expires will be higher. Put option. The right to sell. This is also exercised when the offer to sell an option is taken. This is called “Finish Low” in American exchanges because a put is based on projections that the price of an asset will be lower when the contract expires. In-the money. A successful trade wherein a call option expires above the strike price or a put option expires below the strike price.


At-the-money. A trade in which the price during expiration is identical to the level during purchase. In some binary options contracts, such a scenario requires the initial investment amount to be fully returned to the customer. Out-of-the-money. A failed trade wherein a call option expires below the strike price or a put option expires above the strike price. Essentially, “options” is a misnomer for these types of transactions. “Lock” (another type of derivative) would have been the more appropriate term because once the deal is sealed, both buyer and seller are obliged to comply with whatever conditions were agreed upon to take effect at the contract’s expiry. One other thing to remember is that trading in binary options only involves the price of underlying asset, but not the asset itself. You might be trading binary options for the price of Google or Apple stocks or gold, but there is no assumption that the seller owns any of these assets or that that you will when the contract expires. What makes binary options attractive? Fixed risk and reward. Most binary options are Fixed Return Options (FROs) in which the gains and losses (the risk-reward ratio) are predetermined. You know exactly what you’ll earn should you be in-the-money, or what you would otherwise lose if you happened to be out-of-the-money.


In a $100 trade, for example, many options offer a return of 81% for a successful trade. Many also offer to return 10% of the purchase amount should your trade be out-of-the-money. Capped risk. You will never lose more than what you’ve invested, which is all too possible in other investments like foreign exchange or real estate. Assured reward. By the same token, gains are not dependent on the price of the asset during expiry. Regardless of whether the increase in price is a fraction of a point or double the strike price, the winner gets the entire payoff amount. Simpler to understand. In binary options trading you only need to sense the direction of the price of the asset you’re trading. With regular options, you need to know both the direction and the magnitude of the price. High level of sophistication. While easier to understand than most options, binary options still offer enough freedom for the application of sophisticated investment strategies. Investors in the forex market use binary options to hedge against their currency investments by investing in an opposite direction to their traditional forex position.


Regardless of whether prices rise or fall, they’ll have their losses covered or might even profit from their binary options position. Shorter durations. In some exchanges, many contracts close within the day. Some durations last for only an hour so the gratification (or mortification) is instant. It is possible to participate in many options within a single trading day. Potential to profit from both falling and rising markets. In regular stock and commodity markets, money is made only when the price of the asset is rising. Binary trading allows an investor to absorb some of the market’s risk and make money regardless of whether prices are falling or rising. Access to multiple markets. From a single account, you can have access to a wide range of markets and asset classes including forex, shares, commodities like oil futures and stock indices. Other types of binary options. Binary options can either be cash-or-nothing, where a fixed amount of cash is paid out.


It can also be an asset-or-nothing option where instead of cash the value of the underlying asset is paid out. Aside from these basic types, there are other more exotic binary options that are a bit more complex but follow the same general concept. Barrier options are options that depend on a specific price level for their existence within the duration of the options contract. They can disappear ( knocked out ) or appear ( knocked in ) when a specified price level is breached. In partial barrier options , the price is monitored only for a specific window within the duration. In a double barrier option , there is both an upper and lower price barrier and the double knock ins are activated or a double knockout terminates the option if any of those barriers are hit. The more complex double barrier binary option , of which there are 28 types, combines the characteristics of both barrier and binary types. Are binary options a safe investment? As with any other form of investment, risk is inherent in binary options. In fact, websites that guarantee returns are the ones you should stay away from. There have been complaints of payoffs not being remitted to bank accounts, so you’ll need to do due diligence before committing. The best idea is to always go with one of the best binary options brokers that you know are legitimate and reliable. If you’re serious about trying binary options trading out, selecting a reputable trader is the first critical step. There has been a proliferation of trading websites online and it can be quite confusing to know which is legit and which is not.


Start with traders registered with the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) or the American Exchange (Amex) to be sure that the firm you’re dealing with is subject to regulation. Fixed return options are more common in Europe and are traded in European exchanges heavily, thus the nickname European options. There have been reports of Europe-based sites engaging in unauthorized binary options trading. The financial crisis of 2008 has awakened every American to the very real threat Wall Street presents to their personal financial health. The clamor for financial reform has resulted in the Dodd-Frank Act being passing into law in 2010. However, regulation for binary options trading is not explicit in the implementing rules and guidelines although proposals for rule changes have been discussed in the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and predate the creation of the Dodd-Frank Act. For now and until the rules are in place, prudence in this investment area will always be your biggest safety net. Are binary options a good investment? Yes, if you have the stamina to monitor prices closely, the diligence to study the history and performance of the underlying asset you’re trading, and no past history of compulsive gambling. Forbes columnist Gordon Pape issued a strong warning against binary options. He claims that this form of trading appeals to the online poker crowd and market junkies who tend to be more exuberant in taking chances than the ordinary investor. In fact, he refuses to acknowledge binary options trading as legitimate investment.


He insists that it is a pure gambling activity where the odds are stacked against the investor. Gordon Pape claims, as do others, that you need to win 54.5% of the time to just break even. For some, these odds are good enough, even if the house gets the better deal. For the house, it’s like having hundreds of slot machines that won’t ever pay out a jackpot. For the investor, on the other hand, binary options multiplies his chances of winning each time he cranks the machine. Not the jackpot, maybe, but big enough if one keeps at it and does the homework. Will you bet on binary options? B2B News » Top 10 Alternatives To RezOvation: Leading Hotel Management Software Solutions. The hospitality industry continues to grow over the years. Around the world, there are more than 700,000 hotels and resorts to accommodate tourists and travelers. Implementing an innovative system such … Top 10 Alternatives to AthenaHealth: Popular Medical Practice Management Software Solutions.


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Ask your own! At the point when an amateur goes in ill-equipped exchanging paired alternatives, the intermediary will devour them. New merchants regularly commit errors, for example, taking approach to huge a position for one exchange, assuming an awful misfortune, and after that staying approach to little binary system scam. . They may even experience winning effortlessly on little exchanges, yet they never make back the huge misfortune. New dealers take much an excessive number of exchanges, let feelings control their exchanging, and don't have the poise to remain out of low rate exchanges that they *know* have little possibility of profiting. The first thing to clarify is that you can't classify binary trading as good or bad. For some people it works better, for others its the opposite. I would say that binary trading is quite risky, and most of the time it perceives as a gambling activity. There is almost impossible to predict future ups and downs. Therefore, professional brokers would rather operate in Forex. It is easier to buy and sell your assets and beneficial for the beginners.


As for the signals, I would recommend you to neglect them, and start with learning Forex Trading. Usually those signals are not supported by any factors and they may mislead you completely. Are binary options legit a good ideas Still have a question? Ask your own! Define broker business? Is business starting a brokerage, affiliate broker business, a signal service for brokers, fund managing service or do you want to become a platform provider for brokers? Ok, I assume you mean starting a brokerage firm. Think about this business for a minute. The trades your customers do are traded against you. You are the counter party. This means you make money when your customers lose. Let that sink in for a minute.


This is also the reason why this business is filled with scams and schemes to make customers lose. Contrast this with a stock broker. A stock broker brings your trades to an actual market. The broker makes money whether your customer is right or wrong. The stock broker has no incentive to defraud its customers. Competition is fierce. So you need a big marketing budget. In the beginning of growing your business therefore, your customers lose money for you to pay for your marketing. Ask yourself. Do you really want to be in this business? The current regulatory moves across the globe are to seek closure of Binary Option brokers so I would suggest that you seek another business to create with a better chance of surviving. Why to start a binary options broker when you can do what they do without starting the business? think about it - binary options broker generate income only from trading against their traders meaning they are basically writing and selling binary options to traders who are buying from them and if the trader loose the broker win. just log in and trade n real binary options exchanges where you can buy but also sell binary options yourself to other traders and you are exactly like the broker but no need for marketing and buisness expanses only trading capital try these for start TradEqual , Nadex , Cantor and see the advantages they bring.


Its a great idea to Make Money On Binary Options starting a broker business. Before do so you need to make yourself educate regarding the business and gather adequate knowledge on the business. You can get education here MakeMoneyOnBinary . It depends on your life goals. If you have enough money and some spare time, why not? Somebody has to do it after all. Work on opening a new brokerage company is conditionally divided into 6 steps: - Register your company. - Register a bank account. - Create a website of binary option broker. - Select and install a suitable trading platform.


- Open an office in the country where it is planned to transact business. - Hire the employees and develop marketing plan. But as was said above the competition is severe in this business. Are you ready for that? Binary Options: Scam or Opportunity? We’re recently getting more and more contracts for coding binary option strategies. Which gives us a slightly bad conscience , since those options are widely understood as a scheme to separate naive traders from their money. And their brokers make indeed no good impression at first look. Some are regulated in Cyprus under a fake address, others are not regulated at all. They spread fabricated stories about huge profits with robots or EAs. They are said to manipulate their price curves for preventing you from winning.


And if you still do, some refuse to pay out , and eventually disappear without a trace (but with your money). That’s the stories you hear about binary options brokers. Are binary options nothing but scam? Or do they offer a hidden opportunity that even their brokers are often not aware of? Binary options, in their most common form, are very different to real options. They are a bet that the price of an asset will rise or fall within a given time frame. If you win the bet, the broker pays your stake multiplied with a win payout factor in the 75%..95% range. If you lose, you pay the stake minus a possible loss payout . You’re trading not against the market, but against the broker. The broker needs you to lose, otherwise he would not make any profit. Even if he really pays out your wins, and even if he does not manipulate the price curve, he can still control your profit with his payout factors. So it seems that even if you had a winning system, the broker would just reduce the payout for making sure that you lose in the long run. However this conclusion is a fallacy.


It can in fact be of advantage for the broker to offer a payout that allows you to win, as long as most other traders still lose. A broker has not the freedom of arbitrarily reducing the payout. He’s competing with other brokers. But why would you want to trade binary options anyway, when you also can trade serious instruments instead? If you wanted a binary outcome, you can also achieve this by opening a Put or Call Spread with real options – and this with a serious broker, much higher payout factors (even more than 100%) and the possibility to sell the options prematurely. But aside from tax advantages in some countries, there is one single compelling reason that might make a binary options trading experiment worthwhile. Profit and trading cost of a binary option are independent of the time frame. So you can trade on very short time frames, which would be difficult, if not impossible with real options or other financial instruments. You can find a discussion of this problem in the Scalping article. Binary scalping math. The required minimum win rate for binary trading can be calculated from the broker’s win and loss payout: W = required win rate for break even.


With 85% win payout and no loss payout, you need a win rate of. 54% win rate seem to be manageable on short time frames. The transaction costs of a non-binary, conventional broker would require a much higher win rate, as in the following graph from the Scalping article: Required win rate in percent vs. trade duration (non binary) You had to win almost 80% of five-minutes trades – impossible for a trading system under normal conditions unless you enforce that win rate with some tricks, which however won’t help getting in the profit zone. So, smaller trading costs on low time frames are the obvious benefit of trading binary options. With all the side benefits of low time frames, such as more data for backtests, and shorter drawdown periods in live trading. But how can we take advantage of that? There are three problems to solve. Three steps to potential binary profit. Find a method with a win r ate that is better than the W determined with the above payout formula. But be aware that prices on small time frames are strongly feed dependent. Normally you won’t know your binary broker’s price source (if he has any at all). For being on the safe side, test with different historical price data from different serious brokers (f. i. Oanda or FXCM) and stay some percent points above the minimum W . All those issues make trading binary options sort of “messy”. However it’s the messy methods that sometimes offer the best opportunities. Ed Thorp made his first millions with his Blackjack method and with a method to estimate the value of warrants, also considered messy and hard to calculate.


A price curve is no random walk. At least not all of the time. Long time frames are often dominated by trend, short time frames by mean reversion. When transaction costs do not matter, it’s not very hard to find a system with > 54% win rate on 5-minutes bars. Here’s a simple example that exploits the mean reversion tendency of short time frames (script for Zorro): In the C code above we defined an individual objective() function that optimizes the system for binary trading. It measures the system performance as the number of winning trades divided by the number of losing trades. Otherwise the optimizer would hunt for the most robust profit factor, which makes no sense for binary trading. The setup establishes a 5 minutes bar period, which is the time frame of our bets. We use 20 WFO cycles and let the optimizer use all CPU cores but one. This way the training run takes about 5-10 minutes for 5 years data.


The BINARY flag activates binary trades, and we’re simulating a broker with 85% win payout and no loss payout. We have a mean reverting system that trades whenever the current price is closer than a threshold – here, 1% of recent volatility – to its previous High or Low. The time period for determining the High and Low is the only system parameter that we optimize. You could improve the system in many ways, for instance by optimizing also the threshold, by modifying the objective() function so that it prefers systems with more trades, and by applying a filter that prevents trading in non mean-reverting market regimes. Since we bet on the price in 5 minutes, we’ve set the LifeTime of a trade to one bar. Here’s the equity curve from a 5 years walk forward test with EURUSD: The system has about 56% win rate and a notable, although not spectacular positive return. Which is not achieved by the crude mean reversion mechanism, but mostly by amplifying the small entry-exit price differences through binary trading, even though the payout is only 85%. You won’t get a similar result with conventional trades. The same system not trading binary options, but leveraged forex positions produces a very different equity curve (for testing, comment out the BINARY flag and the Payout settings in the code): With the same trades we have now only 40% win rate and an overall loss, since all the trade profit is eaten up by spread and commission. How do you let your script automatically enter a bet at the right moment? This is a technical issue unrelated to trading, but it comes up whenever you have a broker with a web based platform and no proper connection for automatizing. Here’s a code snippet for detecting the positions of Buy and Sell buttons on a website, and automated clicking them: Start the script, and wait until the broker’s website pops up in your browser. Then follow the instructions in Zorro’s message window.


Manoever the mouse onto the “Buy” button and hit the right mouse key. Then do the same with the “Sell” button. The script will store the button positions and then use the keys function to send test clicks to both positions of the active window. For testing purposes I’ve imitated a typical binary broker’s trading platform. You now only need to glue together your trading script with the button clicking script, and adapt the latter to the website of your broker. This is left as an exercise to the reader. And better use improved versions – the scripts here are kept simple for demonstration purposes. As long as the script trades, make sure that the browser window stays in the foreground, or else it can not click on the buttons. For the position size, either enter a fixed size for all positions, or let your script click into the size field and send key strokes to set individual sizes. Of course I don’t want to recommend a particular binary options broker.


In the end, they’re all crooks – but some are crookier than others. Finding a suited broker is, also, left as an exercise to the reader. Binary broker comparison websites are often – surprise, surprise – installed and paid by binary brokers. US citizens are normally not allowed to trade binary options with brokers that are not regulated in the US. Some brokers will accept your deposit nevertheless, but use that as pretext to refuse payout. If you’re a citizen of Israel, you might not be accepted by many binary brokers since they’re not allowed to fraud compatriots. It’s often the “messy” and despised trade instruments that can still provide opportunities when they are correctly understood. I’ve uploaded the two scripts to the 2016 repository. You’ll need Zorro 1.52 or above for running them. When you now make huge profits with binary options, don’t forget where the money comes from: Not from the broker, but from his less fortunate customers that maybe just haven’t read the right blog. Addendum: From all articles on this blog, this one attracted by far the most spam comments. From them it appears that a new lucrative business has established in the orbit of binary brokers: recovery fraud . As soon as you’ve lost your money, you’ll receive offers by “hackers” or “law firms” to recover it, for a fee of course.


Where did they get your address from? Naturally from the very broker that bagged your money… 71 thoughts on &ldquoBinary Options: Scam or Opportunity?&rdquo Thank you for this article. Would you happen to know of any software out there, or a model, that cap produce a binary risk curve over time? Similar to the risk graphs created by traditional options software? I found one on Wolfram but I can’t change the security prices. It would be very helpful for me to understand binary prices over time and volatility levels. I don’t know such a software for binary options, but you could probably calculate the graph with the standard Black-Scholes algorithm, just as for a normal European option. The question is only what you would do with this information, since you can normally not sell a binary option during its lifetime. I have an account at Nadex and you can buy and sell them (close out a position).


So I would be helpful for me to mode out the possible prices over time. I bought your book recently and really liked it. Lots of great ideas for trading algos. I’m glad I understand some German. Here a question regarding your article: I’m a complete newbie to binaries, so please forgive my ignorance. You say that the trading cost does almost not depend on the the time frame. Obviously, when you put on a lot of trades in a short time, the expected profit is usually small, so it can easily get eaten up by commissions. As far as I understand, the payout of a binary is fixed, so it is always the same whether your trades last 1sec or 1000secs, which makes it in some sense time-independent. However, (and this is where I’m a bit green still), binaries have a fixed expiry date, so our profits are in some sense bound to the time to expiry and get smaller the closer our trade entry get to it. On the other hand, the closer we get to expiry, our probability of reaching a certain target price increases as the path divergence from spot to expiry gets smaller. So, in my naive understanding, the algo you presented above should only work optimal for a given time in the day that is n periods away from expiry. I’m probably wrong but I would like to hear your opinion of why this is not the case.


PS, I think it should be fairly easy to model binary options with Monte Carlo rather than Black Scholes, as it is easy to put all sorts of constraints in it. I’ve done this with Barrier Options, it’s slower but quite effective. Do you intend on translating your book, or I’ll have to buy the e-book and them Google translate it? =) @ Jeremy, Tom: I had not heard of Nadex before, but they indeed allow to exit an option before it expires. This article was only about the usual options with a fixed duration and costs independent of duration, but exiting options opens new interesting possibilities. A risk graph makes then a lot of sense. Maybe that could be the topic of another article. – @ Gonzatti: Yes, I’ll translate it when I find the time. Informative and entertaining as ever. Many thanks. Jeremy, Tom – thanks re Nadex. Interesting.


hi, very interesting article, me too have an account at Nadex. and they have a very good and and informative site with huge amount of info. could u check their platform and how we can use this platform with Zorro app. with best regards. From what I see, Nadex seems not to provide a direct connection. So you would need a script like above under “Step 2” or some similar solution for controlling their trade platform. Thank You for this informative contribution. The expiration time of the option may no doubt also be an interesting parameter to look at, although it is very broker specific what it can be set at. I have been trying to exploit this additional parameter, since in zorro there is the possibility of adjusting the ExitTime from the BarPeriod to some other value (I inserted after “LossPayout = 0” simply ExitTime = 15 for instance). Surprisingly, if I do so with the above script the test result is always the same which can certainly not be correct. Why does this fail? Because your ExitTime is overridden by the LifeTime setting. You can use either ExitTime or LifeTime for the duration of a trade, but the recommended method is LifeTime. – You can find those issues by looking in the logfile.


There you can see how long the trades last and which profit they make. great article, in my experience the binary options is good, but requires an method and some education, i have some profits, I apply martin gala system 🙂 Kisses. Seems that LifeTime param. is not actually documented in zorro manual page at least I couldn’t find it. Would like to know the difference between ExitTime vs LifeTime. GoMarkets has binary options on their MT4 platform, trading from your normal account. I think there are a few other’s out there too. Yes. Some brokers provide binary options through the FX LITE MT4 plugin. You can then trade directly with Zorro through the MT4 bridge and need no button click function. Only the time frame of the bet must be set up – as far as I know – in the order comment field. What about position sizing? Probably via lot size, but I found no detailed documentation.


I’ll inquire with the developer of the FX LITE tool. Ok, according to the developer this is the MQL4 command to bet on a rising price with FX LITE: and the corresponding Zorro code: “Size” is the position size in units of the broker’s minimum size, like 1$. “BO Exp:” sets the duration in seconds. If you want to change the position size on the broker’s web interface, it’s just as with clicking the buttons: let the script click into the size field and then send key strokes for setting the size. Great & interesting example Johann – thanks for sharing. How does Zorro evaluate the binary option success? From the code, the ‘set(BINARY)’ is used to automagically evaluate the success of the prediction. In my own simulations of the same algorithm (EURUSD, last 5 years, 5min periods), the win rate is about 60% if the mean of the next period is used to determine success – but 52% if the close of the next period is used (more noisy) Also, some binary options brokers (like IG Index) quote a threshold price which is their prediction of where the market price will be in 5 mins. Our algorithm needs to determine whether the market price is likely to be higherlower than the broker’s own estimate on expiry (not the market price when the bet is placed). This is hard. The close is used by Zorro. The mean would be wrong since it’s no real price. However 5-minutes data is highly feed dependent, and you will likely get different results with different brokers.


Zorro uses FXCM price data by default, but it’s better when you backtest with price data from the very broker you trade with. It’s interesting how many variants of price bets are offered by binary brokers meanwhile. Using a predicted threshold would effectively prevent an algorithmic system since you can not backtest it. Here is a complete list with all scam brokers. Maybe you can add it to your article: howwetrade. combinary-options-scams I get this message: Error in ‘line 27: ‘SET_ORDERTEXT’ undeclared identifier. “Undeclared identifier” means that your software does not understand what you’re typing. Either your version is too old or you did not type it right. This blog is not really a good place for programming support, but the user forum is. There you can also get the newest version. I completely agree that binary options are easier to trade. Thanks for the interesting article. I found binary. com has an API trading interface. Maybe we can expect Zorro will have ability to trade binaries ? A rare pearl in the sea of binary option articles!


I also like a lot the general approach to trading you and the community of Zorro have. Kudos to you! I’m quite new to Zorro, so I think my question will have a simple answer. I tried to change the line: and got a suspiciously higher winning percentage. As I think this is not because of a real improvement of the method performance, what is the reason for that? Is there a way to place a (binary) trade – talking about training and testing mode – before all other trades expires? Thank you and congrats again! Thanks for the quick reply. I played around further with the script, and noticed an important fact to be taken into account in Zorro when simulating binary options strategies. When selecting a LifeTime much higher than 1 bar, and allowing placing positions when other positions are already open, you will notice that something odd is going on. You may get incredible (but unfortunately wrong…) results, that being due to the fact that by default Zorro closes a trade when another trade on the opposite direction is placed, assigning it a win or a loss depending on the situation at the moment (thus without taking into account the expiry time fixed by LifeTime). I think this is a “bug”, in the sense that Zorro should not behave like that when the the BINARY flag is set. I ‘solved’ the problem setting Hedge to 2, which allows to enter and open long and short positions simultaneously. Maybe this setting of Hedge to 2 should be executed automatically by the program when the BINARY flag is set, in order to avoid wrong simulation outcomes.


I posted this info into the Zorro forum as well… Yes. When more than one trade can be open, Hedge must be set to prevent closing a position by opening opposite ones. Otherwise you could prematurely exit from your bet and book the profit! – This is not automatic, so the consequence of any setting must be carefully considered for emulating binary trading. I have some real experience with autotrading binary options. I built an interface for Newstrading. I used Forex News Gun and rent a server in New York, which put me in the position of executing a trade within 1ms once fundamental indicators are published. It’s an unbeatable system if you take your time to study how the market reacts to the data. I had 80+% winning rate and with the optimal risk (Kelly Formula!) I should be a millionaire by now! However, once brokers realize what’s going on, they block you out with error messages. I would highly recommend to learn how to apply fundamental analysis and how to trade manually instead of spending any energy on binary options because of my own experience. I spent like 2000€ for server rent, deposits I never got back (beware – 24option takes 80 units every month from you account if you don’t trade several month.


StockPair does this as well), Winautomation Pro, and a custom coded method (was one of the customers JCL spoke about – it is possible to beat 57% winning ratio but it’s really hard with technical analysis only! I don’t think it’s possible to beat break even really significantly, so forget about getting rich quick). However, I managed to build a somewhat stable autotrading interface with Winautomation. If you are interested, I’m willing to share my code, but it will need adaptions for your broker. Nice article, I will play with this code the next time I’m bored. I’m sdh309795gaas in the Zorro forum. Would anyone be interested in working together on some of this stuff? I’ve written an nodeJS API for iqoption, along with a backtester that allows the algorithm to be dropped right into the API without any modification, but I’m still trying to figure out the price prediction part. This method gets about 55-57% accuracy when I tested it with the data from iq option. But when you factor in the changing profit rates and everything, there’s just not a whole lot of trades left.


@TeeraLucksanapiruk Where you able to connect zorro with iq option through your API? If that is the case I am interested. how can I get the script or apply the auto robot to trade for me with a good broker like binary. com ? Please guys – I work at the sharp end of the financial industry - these can best be likened to a roulette wheel with a slower time to burn than through your chips. Unless there has been some new market news the price fluctuations cannot be predicted on a five minute interval. Some of the finest on Wall Street make only 75% profitable decisions. The have access to non-public research, 20 years experience, teams of analysts using supercomputers crunching millions of transactions, financial capital (billions) and brokers that work for them. Thankfully they only need to be right on very specific transactions. You don’t give money to Nigerian scammers, why let someone take your money on binary options. I had $5000US dollars deducted from my visa to Optionbot 3.0. But I have not heard back from the company or from my broker who had promised me that by investing I would make a very good profit. Unfortunately I only received 1 call from my broker who set up some sort of auto trade and was told specifically not to touch it, which of course I haven’t. The problem is that now I lost all my money and I cannot reach them either. I am writing this post because one broker named John, from such called: Optionbot 3.0 called me on 25 June of 2016 and forced me to open an account on their website optionbot. net promissing me that Optionbot will make 100% PROFIT of my deposits.


I transferred that day 10 000 Euro by Credit Card. The broker took over my account and started trading. After half an hour, the margin level was under threat and I received a call and broker started to ask for more money. I sent another 5 000 Euro from my Credit Card! On 30 June, he opened 11 wrong positions with a huge loss and I woke up with all my money lost. I instantly called my broker and this criminal which burned all my money said that he will refund all my positions and I will succed to withdrawal all my money. I waited for few hours and tryied to call John, and he never asked. Days passed away, I was trying and trying to call him, to write to his email, but without answers. I want to catch this broker which robbed my money, and made hundred of trades on my behalf without my consent and to punish him for every EUR that he lost, to punish him piece with piece just to understand how hard is to make money. I still hope that I will find justice one day, but for you guys, PLEASE, DO NOT EVER REGISTER OR CHARGE THIS SHITNESS SITE: OPTIONBOT 3.0. Binary options are great financial product but there is a lot of greedy brokers and firms .


They stealing money from innocent people through robots, auto-traders and signal services.. All these systems are usually created by unregulated binary options brokers.. On this site you can find many scam systems: binaryoptionsradar. com I wished I have read this article before I parted with my 250US dollars with BDB. Scammers really were able to convince me by calling me long distance from Cyprus. i think he’s trying to scam a lot of people, he made it very good and authentic. This is such a great post in which Binary Options scam is describe in a better way. I am seeking this type of blog from so many days but today i am glad to find this blog. I have been trading binary options with this script on livedemo accounts since Dec. on auto pilot with two brokers.


It seems on some days it works really well and on other days it’s the opposite. The end result is, it’s struggling to break even. Love to work with someone to improve this. Let me know if you guys are interested. It’s all good and well to say that you are succeeding as a trader when your account balance is rising and trades seem to be going well. But I’m wondering if anyone here has managed to withdraw any actual cash from binary trading accounts? Things were going really well for me and I believed I had found a quick path to success when I started trading and winning. But, when I needed to liquidize my funds, it was impossible. Has anyone been successful in getting money out? I have been contacted by a legal team who has informed me that the binary company I invested with will not ever give me my money unless I open a case against them, so I am thinking of doing this. Does anyone have any experience advise about this? Comments like this appear here every second day, and usually end up in the spam folder since they look like bait for advertising “legal teams” or “hackers” to “get money back” from a binary broker. So let me draw this comment out of the spam and answer it: If your binary broker refuses to pay out, the first problem is that you normally do not know their real address, not even their country. So the chance to get your money back from a Cyprus mailbox is zero.


But in the orbit of fraudulent brokers, a whole industry of “legal teams” or “hackers” have established that promise retrieving your money for a fee. You’re then not only losing your investment, you’re losing that fee as well. Sometimes the “legal team” or the “hacker” is the broker himself when they smell that their client has still some money left. At least that’s what I’ve heard about those services. What I so far never heard is that someone really retrieved money from a fraudulent binary broker. Hi JCL I was wondering if you or someone could explain me how to modify the objective() function so it prefers systems with more trades as you suggested. I have been searching a way to do this in the zorro manual but I haven´t found anything yet. The objective function is supposed to return a value that is a proxy for performance. The higher, the better. So you could just subtract a “penalty term” for not enough trades, like this: var PF = ((var)(NumWinLong+NumWinShort))(NumLossLong+NumLossShort) var Penalty = 1.(NumWinLong+NumWinShort+NumLossLong+NumLossShort) return PF – Penalty This is just a quick & dirty example, there might be better methods. Let’s have a discussion some time with regards to. binary options along with what we could do to. ensure that it is more effective for everyone. Thanks for the whole write up. Looking forward to getting more information on you manage everything regarding money management, legal issues and other things to get things fancy and manageable. Binary options is really not for all. It always bears a lot of risks.


This kind of information will help the enthusiasts escaping the bad things. Regards. Thanks for a fascinating article. Regarding trading costs on short term binary systems…mission doesn’t factor in however can you comment if slippage affects the results of this system? I came up with an automated binary options system that trades 650 timesday and backtests in MultiCharts at a 76% win rate (39.5% payout) — which “on paper” is profitable. However slippage brings the real world results down to roughly 70%, making it a marginal loser. Is this the same with your system? In binary trading, slippage largely depends on the honesty of the broker. Since they are usually market makers, it is no problem for them to generate artificial slippage for reducing the win rate. So it may be worth the effort to test the slippage and compare it with different brokers. In serious trading, slippage has a smaller effect on the win rate since asymmetric slippage is illegal under most regulations. Would this system benefit from applying your MMI as a filter? Not really, since it’s using mean reversion. MMI can detect trend regimes, but makes no difference between mean reversion and pure randomness.


Hi jcl…ahhhh sorry I missed that part in the MMI article where you said just that. Sorry about that. Ok, just as a follow up though, let’s assume as you imply that there are 3 modes, trending, mean reverting and random. Obviously the mean reversion system is not going to perform well in a trending market or in a random market…however if your MMI eliminates trades during trending periods, would that not at least be partly helpful in filtering out some of the losing trades? If not, do you know of a method to differentiate a mean reverting mode? ADX is supposed to be effective, however I’ve never had much luck with it in actual system testing. Last question…is your book available in English? Love your blog! Yes, there are other methods to detect the market regime, often used is the Hurst exponent. I have already on my to do list a series of experiments to find out which detection method works best under which circumstances. FrankyB….pretty sure the only legal way to trade binaries in the US is with Nadex. It’s an SEC regulated exchange though so totally safe unlike most other binary brokers.


I’m pretty sure there you’re trading against other market participants rather than against any broker. Glad to find somebody who takes a realistic approach to binary options trading. I believe that profiable strategies can be automated, but they are not available in the public domain. Because when you have a profitable method, you trade it and make money, you don’t share it with everyone, especially not for free. Unfortunately there are hundreds of scam systems (see warnings at thebestbinaryoptionsbrokers. netcategorybinary-options-scam-2) that try to make people believe the contrary. And I see a lot of people fall into these traps, they still believe that somebody will make them money for free. One more thing to mention is that most binary options platforms has an affiliate program so you cant really find a honest review. Most of the reviews are made to generate revenue and has interest. If you need some assistance in recovering you money lost in binary options there is this company here that will help you get your money back. Advertising link removed Almost died at the end of the article: “If you’re a citizen of Israel, you might not be accepted by many binary brokers since they’re not allowed to fraud compatriots. ” Cool overview. At the end of the day, Binary Options, FRO (Fast Return Options) all derive from various interpretations of the B&S formula and are indeed financial instruments. Sophistication is the basic element of fraud and if you look into HFT there’re a lot of questions and I remember a movie with Haim Bodek talking about weird weird stuff.


jcl…does this system enter on the open of a bar or intra-bar if the price hits your pre-defined level? jcl…I’m wondering if I could get your opinion on something. Do you think it is possible, using data mining, that someone could discover reliable repeating patterns in a data series generated by a cryptographically secure pseudorandom number generator that is programmed to behave like a real market? Not talking about cracking it or finding the seed, just patterns that repeat leading to higher or lower prices over a specified timeframe. Or is this a hopeless endeavour? Examples would be: OR more significantly: If it is a random number generator, then it has per definitionem no reliable repeating patterns. Otherwise it would be a bad programmed random number generator. I guess the reason I asked is that binary. com says about these indices: “These markets are simulated markets that use randomly generated numbers to reflect the way that a real market behaves” So I would think they must have some deterministic algorithm that makes the numbers a little less than random. For instance, volatility in these “fake” markets seems to exhibit mean reverting tendencies similar to the way it does in real markets. I wonder if that is by accident or design? There are many ways to simulate a market, the simplest is using real market data.


So I don’t know for what purpose binary. com uses a random number generator, and in which way it is programmed. Since it is a binary broker, I would assume that it is programmed to maximize the user’s losses. This means the generated index depends on how many users bet on rising and how many on falling. Since this info is known only to the broker, you can not use it to your advantage. Hello everyone, I’m looking to get into trading in this way but would like to read jcl’s book first. Could someone help me out with a link?

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